Community-Managed Forecasting and Early Warning Preparedness for Natural Hazards

Suggested Date:  November 15-17, 2006

Venue:  Sorsogon, Philippines

 

Workshop Objectives

 

At the end of 3 days the participants will have:

 

  1. listed concrete community early warning indicators specific to natural hazards, including tectonic and destructive weather events.
  2. identified specific steps and mechanisms to be in place for communities to carry out hazard forecasting and early warning preparedness at the individual, family and community level.
  3. identified issues and challenges in creating an early warning system that is in the hands of the local community.
  4. listed key lessons gained from the workshop
  5. identified actions points for various stakeholders (community/grassroots, government agencies, policy makers, scientist…)

 

 

Workshop Content Flow

 

Rationale for Community Managed Early Warning Systems

The Changing World (Theme 1)

 

Introduction

Workshop Objective and Mechanics

 

Philosophy and Principles of Community Managed Early Warning Systems

(Theme 2)

 

Practices of Community Managed Early Warning Systems

(Themes 3 and 4)

 

The Way Forward for Community Managed Early Warning Systems

(Themes 5 and 6)

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Schedule of Activities and Themes

 

Time

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

AM

Registration

Opening Ceremony

§          welcome remarks

§          expectations and objectives of the workshop

§          workshop mechanics

 

Theme 1:  The Changing World:  The Why of  Community Managed Forecasting and Early Warning Systems

 

Theme 3:  If communities can do forecasting, what would be the steps/ mechanisms in place for them to take action for preparedness and during the actual events?

 

Theme 5:  The role of various stakeholders to make the community safer and to create  early warning systems in the hands of  the community.

 

Lunch

 

 

 

PM

Theme 2:  Can a community do forecasting?

 

Sharing of Experiences on communities in action for hazard forecasting

 

§          using scientific tools

§          monitoring the natural environment as community observers

Theme 4: Early warning system in the hands of the community:  Issues and challenges

 

Theme 6: Wrap up and Synthesis

 

Commitments of each of the 10 sites, individually and as a monitoring network..

 

Synthesis

Synthesis

Synthesis

 

 

 

Workshop Mechanics

 

Time

Themes

Objectives

Outcomes

Methodology

 

Registration

Opening Ceremony

§          welcome remarks

§          expectations and objectives of the workshop

§          workshop mechanics

·          To warm up and set the stage for the entire workshop

·          To present the objectives and the methodology of the day

·          To present the schedules and the expected outcome of the 3 days

·          Expectation Check

·          Participants are relaxed and willing to share experiences

·          Participants will feel that they own the entire process of the 3 days

·          Consensus on the program content and timing

·          Presentation

·          Facilitation

 

Theme 1:  The Changing World

l          To present the changing landscape of the world and how society will navigate in the new world

l          List of key points on the changing world that might affect the way the society works

l          Presentation

l          Sharing

l          Structured learning exercise

 

Theme 2:  Can communities do forecasting?

 

l          To be able to present various case studies: communities can read signs for impending hazard events (be it using scientific instruments and/or watching for changes in the natural environment)

l          List of principles and philosophy on why communities can do forecasting

l          List of community early warning indicators for specific hazards.

l          Presentation

l          Case studies

 

Theme 3:  If communities can do forecasting, what would be the steps/ mechanisms in place for them to take action to prepare and during the actual events?

 

l          To be able to generate the “How and What” of an early warning system at the community level in a consensus approach.

l          Steps/ processes and approaches in having an early warning system at the community level (from generating data, data compilation, analysis up to dissemination and taking action)

l          Workshop

l          Structured learning exercise

l          Presentation

 

Theme 4: Early warning system in the hands of communities:  Issues and Challenges

 

l          To be able to identify the obstacles in having early warning in the hands of local communities.

l          To be able to identify action points based upon the identified obstacles.

l          List of issues and challenges from various stakeholders

l          Workshop

l          Structured learning exercise

l          Presentation

 

Theme 5:  The role of various stakeholders in making communities safer and creating early warning systems in the hands of the communities

l          To be able to define the roles of each of the stakeholders

l          Roles identified by each stakeholder in creating an early warning system viable in the hands of communities

l          Workshop

l          Structured learning exercise

l          Presentation

 

Theme 6: Wrap up and Synthesis

 

l          To wrap up the entire workshop using a framework for analysis (based on output of each day and recommendations)

l          List of recommendations

l          List of lessons learned from the workshop

l          Press release

l          Workshop and

l          Presentation