Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1994)
Series Issue Prediction Actual Earthquake Misfit ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
(day) (Km)
94-1 1994.11.22 1994.11.24 N35° 40¢ ³ 7                     0
-1995.1.22 E105° 00
In 1994 false alarm rate of short-imminent earthquake prediction (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/1=100%.
Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1995)
Series Issue Prediction Actual Earthquake Misfit ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
(day) (Km)
95-1 1995. 3.14 1995.3.22 N44.3° 6.5-6.9 1995.5.2 N43.8° 5.8 Wushi, Xinjiang 20 57.2 0.9 71 83.2 47.2 68.7
-5.1 E84.87°   E84.7°  
95-2 1995. 4.12 1995.4.19 N39.83° 5-5.4                     0
-4.28 E117.0°  
In 1995 success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with Crustal stress method is 1/2=50%, false alarm rate of short-imminent earthquake prediction (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/2=50%.
Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1996)
Series Issue Prediction Actual Earthquake Misfit ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
(day) (Km)
96-1 1996. 5. 9 1996.5.16 N23.67° 6.0-6.4                     0
-6.5 E102.88°      
In 1996 false alarm rate of short-imminent earthquake prediction (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/1=100%.