| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1981) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 81-1 | 1981. 3.10 | 1981.3.11 | N25.0° | 6± | 1981.7.7 | N25.0° | 5.4 | Yinjiang, Yunnan | 62 | 212 | 0.6 | 41.4 | 49.5 | 68.5 | 52.8 |
| -6.30 | E100.0° | E 97.9° | |||||||||||||
| 81-2 | 1981. 3.25 | 1981.3.31 | N23.75° | 6± | 1981.3.31 | N23.2° | 4.5 | Taiwan | 0 | 86.5 | 1.5 | 100 | 75.5 | 0 | 60.2 |
| E121.0° | E120.4° | ||||||||||||||
| 81-3 | 1981. 5.29 | 1981.5.30 | N30.35° | 5.5 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.20 | E101.57° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1981 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 1/3=33.4%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 1/3=33.3%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 1/3=33.3%. | |||||||||||||||