Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1981)
Series Issue Prediction Actual Earthquake Misfit ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
(day) (Km)
81-1 1981. 3.10 1981.3.11 N25.0° 6± 1981.7.7 N25.0° 5.4 Yinjiang, Yunnan 62 212 0.6 41.4 49.5 68.5 52.8
-6.30 E100.0° E 97.9°
81-2 1981. 3.25 1981.3.31 N23.75° 6± 1981.3.31 N23.2° 4.5 Taiwan 0 86.5 1.5 100 75.5 0 60.2
E121.0° E120.4°
81-3 1981. 5.29 1981.5.30 N30.35° 5.5                     0
-6.20 E101.57°                    
In 1981 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 1/3=33.4%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 1/3=33.3%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 1/3=33.3%.