Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1980)
Series Issue Prediction Actual Earthquake Misfit ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
(day) (Km)
80-1 1980. 3.12 1980.3.13 N23.33° ³ 6 1980.6.18 N23.5° 5.8 Mengzi, Yunnan 43 256 0.5 49.3 43 74.8 54.4
-6.30 E101.1° E103.6°
80-2 1980. 7.12 1980.7.25 N38.95° 5.5 1980.7.27 N39.63° 4.5  Ninghe-Tangshan, Hebei              
-8.10 E119.68°   E118.08°                  
    1980.8.6 N39.3° 4.7   4 171 0.8 93.4 56.7 54.7 67.1
      E117.75°                  
    1980.8.10 N39.42° 4.4                
      E117.98°                  
    1980.8.10 N39.65° 4                
      E118.3°                  
80-3 1980.11. 8 1980.11.9 N39.75° 5.5 1980.11.10 N40.5° 4.2  Huailai, Hebei 29 86.4 1.3 60.9 75.5 0 48.5
-1981.1.9 E115.92° E115.65°
In 1980 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 1/3=33.3%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 2/3=66.7%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 0.