| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1978) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 78-1 | 1978. 4. 3 | 1978.4.5 | N23.75° | 6± | 1978.4.8 | N22.5° | 5.6 | Taiwan | 2 | 141 | 0.4 | 96.6 | 62.9 | 80.6 | 78.3 |
| -4.16 | E121.0° | E120.8° | |||||||||||||
| 78-2 | 1978. 6. 9 | 1978.6.11 | N23.75° | 6± | 1978.7.23 | N22.6° | 7.4 | Taiwan | 36 | 128 | 1.3 | 72 | 83.9 | 50.6 | 70.3 |
| -6.23 | E121.0° | E121.1° | |||||||||||||
| 78-3 | 1978. 6.28 | 1978.7.4 | N39.37° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -7.20 | E117.53° | ||||||||||||||
| 78-4 | 1978. 8.22 | 1978.8.29 | N31.08° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -9.11 | E102.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 78-5 | 1978. 8.22 | 1978.8.29 | N26.97° | 6± | 1978.8.31 | N27.6° | 5.4 | Ninglang, Yunnan | 4 | 77.8 | 0.6 | 77.7 | 93.4 | 68.5 | 79.6 |
| -9.11 | E101.03° | E100.7° | |||||||||||||
| 78-6 | 1978.12. 9 | 1978.12.14 | N30.0° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -12.31 | E100.38° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1978 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 3/6=50%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 0, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 3 / 6=50%. | |||||||||||||||