Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1975)
Series Issue Prediction Actual Earthquake Misfit ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
(day) (Km)
75-1 1975. 1.23 1975.1.30 N40.55° 5± 1975.2.4 N40.6° 7.3 Haicheng, Liaoning 2 38.4 2.3 98.3 95 0 67.5
-2.13 E123.25° E122.8°
75-2 1975. 1.23 1975.1.30 N39.38° 5±                     0
-2.13 E118.65°
75-3 1975. 1.23 1975.1.30 N37.0° 5±                     0
-2.13 E114.6°
75-4 1975. 2.13 1975.2.16 N29.32° 5.5±                     0
-2.26 E102.82°
75-5 1975. 2.13 1975.2.16 N32.13° 5.5±                     0
-2.26 E100.82°
75-6 1975. 2.13 1975.2.16 N29.73° 5.5±                     0
-2.26 E99.82°
75-7 1975. 2.22 1975.2.25 N39.55° 5.5-6                     0
-3.9 E120.77°
75-8 1975. 2.22 1975.2.25 N38.0° 5.5-6                     0
-3.9 E114.0°
75-9 1975. 3. 5 1975.3.10 N26.18° 7± 1975.3.8 N28.2° 5.2 Yanjin, Yunnan 38 273 1.8 52.9 40.9 0 32.2
-5.20 E102.63° E104.2°
75-10 1975. 3. 5 1975.3.10 N24.57° 7±                     0
-5.20 E101.95°
75-11 1975. 3. 5 1975.3.10 N27.0° 7± 1975.5.31 N26.42° 6.3 Myanmar 46 377 0.7 57.1 41.4 68.2 54.2
-5.20 E 99.73° E 96.0°
75-12 1975. 3. 5 1975.3.10 N30.0° 7±                     0
-5.20 E 99.65°
75-13 1975. 5.16 1975.5.20 N23.75° 5.5-6 1975.5.24 N22.5° 6.4 Taiwan 1 173 0.6 98.9 68 72.7 78.7
-5.27 E121.0° E122.0°
75-14 1975. 5.31 1975.6.5 N26.77° 6± 1975.6.15 N27.8° 4.8 Yanyuang, Sichuan 5 165 1.2 91.8 57.9 0 50.7
-6.15 E102.0° E100.8°
75-15 1975. 5.31 1975.6.5 N31.1° 6±                     0
-6.15 E103.0°
75-16 1975. 6. 2 1975.6.10 N24.93° 6±                     0
-6.22 E101.53°
75-17 1975. 6. 2 1975.6.10 N29.13° 6±                     0
-6.22 E102.85°
75-18 1975. 7. 8 1975.7.1 N35.5° 7± 1975.7.8 N39.0° 6 Ruojiang, Xinjiang 54 471 1 51.4 33.2 54.9 45.2
-9.30 E 84.0° E 87.0°
75-19 1975. 7. 8 1975.7.1 N42.0° 7± 1975.9.10 N40.22° 5.6 Bachu, Xinjiang 10 241 1.4 98.3 45 0 47.5
-9.30 E 80.0° E 78.37°
75-20 1975. 7.15 1975.7.17 N23.75° 6.5± 1975.7.20 N24.8° 5.5 Taiwan 0 119 1 100 67.8 39.2 68.9
-7.24 E121.0° E120.8°
75-21 1975. 7.31 1975.8.3 N30.33° 6±                     0
-8.10 E101.57°
75-22 1975. 7.31 1975.8.3 N32.88° 6±                     0
-8.10 E101.48°
75-23 1975. 8. 4 1975.8.8 N23.75° 5.5-6 1975.8.9 N23.0° 5.5 Taiwan 3 104 0.3 95 71.3 86.1 82.8
-8.17 E121.0° E121.6°
75-24 1975. 8.21 1975.8.24 N23.75° 5.5±                     0
-8.31 E121.0°
75-25 1975. 9.11 1975.9.16 N23.25° 5.5±                     0
-9.24 E121.0°
In 1975 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 4/25=16%, incorrect short-imminent earthquave predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 5/25=20%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 16/25=64%.