Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1971)
Series Issue Prediction     Actual Earthquake Misfit     ESTAPE score (Accuracy)
Yr-No. Time Time(To) Location Mo Time(T) Location MS Location Name D T D R D M PT PR PM P(%)
                  (day) (Km)          
71-1 1971. 3. 1 1971.3.1 N37.0° 5±                     0
-3.12 E112.7°
71-2 1971. 4.24 1971.4.24 N36.58° 5± 1971.4.25 N37.38° 4 Heshun, Shanxi              
-4.30 E114.4° -4.29 E113.57° 4              
        4              
        4.3 0 115.7 0.7 100 68.5 60 75.4
        4.3              
71-3 1971. 4.24 1971.4.24 N35.83° 5± 1971.4.25 N37.38° 4 Heshun, Shanxi              
-4.30 E112.97° -4.29 E113.57° 4              
        4              
        4.3 0 180.5 0.7 100 54.9 60 70
        4.3              
71-4 1971. 4.24 1971.4.24 N36.57° 5± 1971.4.25 N37.38° 4 Heshun, Shanxi              
-4.30 E111.7° -4.29 E113.57° 4              
        4              
        4.3 0 189.1 0.7 100 53.4 60 69.4
        4.3              
71-5 1971. 4.24 1971.4.24 N37.67° 5± 1971.4.25 N37.38° 4 Heshun, Shanxi              
-4.30 E112.7° -4.29 E113.57° 4              
        4              
        4.3 0 82.7 0.7 100 76.5 60 78.6
        4.3              
71-6 1971. 4.29 1971.5.1 N36.9° 5±                     0
-5.5 E113.37°
71-7 1971. 4.29 1971.5.1 N37.05° 5±                     0
-5.5 E114.8°
71-8 1971. 5. 6 1971.5.7 N37.05° 5±                     0
-5.12 E114.8°
71-9 1971. 6.3 1971.6.4 N36.8° 5± 1971.6.5 N37.42° 4.8 Heshun, Shanxi 3 105.2 0.2 95 70.9 91.1 84.2
-6.12 E112.53° E113.43° 5.2
71-10 1971. 7.14 1971.7.15 N40.25° 5±                     0
-7.22 E114.28°
71-11 1971. 7.14 1971.7.15 N39.63° 5±                     0
-7.22 E118.67°
71-12 1971. 8.14 1971.8.15 N38.13° 5± 1971.8.15 N35.53° 4.5  Xiaxian, Shanxi 2 480.8 0.5 96.6 31.3 74.8 63.9
-8.2 E115.75° E111.43°
71-13 1971.12.20 1971.12.21 N43.98° 5±                     0
-12.24 E116.53°
In 1971 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 6/13%=46.2%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 0, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 7/13%=53.8%.